New York City
can be symbolized by its transportation systems. It has nearly one third
of the nation’s transit riders, more than 10% of the daily highway miles
traveled nationally, three of the busiest airports in the world, and a
global marine harbor. It can be considered a hub of rail transportation
in the United States. It is the key location on Amtrak’s Northeast Corridor
linking Washington and Boston. It has the nation’s busiest and most used
subway system, and the nation’s busiest commuter rail services. New York
should be able to dictate the markets for transportation supplies, and
it should be home to a broad spectrum of transportation-based industries.
Railcars:
Made Everywhere but in the U.S. With 7,849 railcars, it might be assumed
that the Metropolitan Transportation Authority- home to the subways, Metro
North, the Long Island Railroad, and the Staten Island Railroad, would
dictate how the railcar industry in the United States should work. Together
with PATH serving New York and New Jersey and New Jersey Transit serving
all of New Jersey- but especially linking to New York- there might be a
logic in developing long-term relationships with regional and local manufacturers
to insure a steady flow of new or replacement vehicles and major vehicle
rehabilitations. This would be the same logic that has Parisian subway
cars made in France, London subway cars made in England, and Tokyo subway
cars made entirely in Japan.
But the
names on American railcars are not from American manufacturers; they are
from European, Asian and Canadian manufacturers, all of which, by Federal
Law, must insure that over 50% of the content is made in the U.S. The transit
railcar industry in the U.S., once symbolized by names like Budd, Morris-Knudsen
and others, has all but disappeared over the last two decades. Faced with
uncertain transit budgets, railcar lifetimes extended from 20 to 35 years,
and decline in the steel industry, U.S. producers could no longer be competitive.
As the railcar manufacturers left, the impact was felt by their suppliers
and, of course, the communities where their workers lived.
The transit
business is not like the auto business. Total annual production needs for
the U.S. might be only in the thousands; in the auto business, we know,
production is in the millions. But the values differ; each railcar costs
$1.5-$2 million. One difficulty for manufacturers is that each rail transit
property specifies railcars unique to its local needs. Overall length,
width, seating, electronics, doors, suspension and propulsion systems are
all tailored to the needs of the property; there is no U.S. standard. Each
procurement is unique. A manufacturer cannot make a one-car-fits-all for
the U.S. They must wait for orders and specifications for every procurement.
This awkward process, of course, adds to the costs of manufacturing railcars.
Offshore manufacturers have stepped up instead to meet U.S. needs.
Why
Local Manufacture Can Happen. Even with these complexities, it should
be possible to restore the manufacturing of railcars to the U.S., and,
as the home state of the biggest consumers of railcars, to New York State.
There are a number of reasons why this might be worth pursuing now: first,
the MTA is likely to continue going through a period of stable, somewhat
predictable budgets for some time. Even in these uncertain times, the risk
of a fiscal crisis that can undermine the capital budgets of transit systems
in New York seems small. The integration of two major procurement tools-
a five-year capital budget that identifies railcar procurement by year,
and the ability to enter into a Full Funding Agreement with the Federal
Government, can give manufacturers more certainty in the stability and
continuity of production.
The next
factor arises from the fact that significant changes are taking place in
the transit industry itself. Both railcars and buses, as well as terminals,
yards, and shops, are being affected by the computer and information technology
revolution. A new generation of vehicle is being built, a vehicle which
can be operated by computers. Its components can “talk to each other” and
to a central control. Maintenance will be done on modules which can be
addressed by hand held computers. The electronics sparking these changes
were developed, in the first instance, in the U.S. The standards through
which these computers will talk to each other are being developed by U.S.
organizations. And these components - some unique to railcars - can also
be adapted to many types of vehicles, including trucks and buses.
The industries that can supply these components to railcar manufacturers
have a logical home in the U.S., and the skilled labor force that can produce
them is here also.
There
is another source of demand for this industry. A new mode of transportation,
Bus Rapid Transit (BRT), is being explored in many U.S. urban areas, including
New York City. BRT, like rail, will operate on City Streets in exclusive
rights of way. But, unlike rail, it can leave this right of way and operate
as a regular bus. To gain public acceptance and use, BRT will be designed
like railcars with modern, comfortable cabins and low floors. It will,
in effect, be a railcar body on a bus chassis. Unique vehicles, they can
be quickly adapted and built by railcar manufacturers. They fit the need
in many areas where public transit is expanding and the markets call for
21st century vehicles. In fact, they reinforce the fact that transit ridership
has been increasing everywhere over the past five years, and this growth
is expected to continue.
Boosting
the Local Economy. But the strongest reason to relocate the railcar
industry here is for its impact on the regional and local economies. Railcar
and related manufacture could grow into a billion dollar business and serve
rail transit throughout the U.S. Because of their higher wages, the employment
multiplier effects of manufacturing are two to three times that of service-based
industries. The transit properties themselves are already training grounds
for some aspects of manufacturing and rail car rehabilitation. A highly
skilled labor force, to build and assemble the entire product, can add
stability to the local economy. And the continuing dynamics of the computer
generation can build links between entrepreneurs, colleges, trade schools,
and manufacturers to ensure that the integration and testing of new high
tech components can take place economically and rapidly. Building vehicles
here would shorten the times of delivery, prototype testing, initial run
in and evaluations, all of which are costly and often frustrating. Further,
U.S.- and New York- based companies would spend and reinvest their profits
here, not take them abroad. This will help those industries grow and diversify.
It is
clearly time to rethink the role of manufacturing in New York and to begin
with a product that is a quintessentially New York product.
Robert E. Paaswell is
Distinguished Professor of Civil Engineering and Director, CUNY Institute
for Urban Systems, CUNY.